Yellow Warning - Rainfall
5:20 p.m. PDT Sunday 15 March 2026

Impact Level: Moderate

Forecast Confidence: High


Rain, at times heavy, is expected.

Prolonged atmospheric river event.

When:
-Now until Wednesday morning

Impacts:
-Prolonged heavy rain on snow combined with mountain snow melt will lead to very enhanced responses in river systems and potential for flooding.
-Extensive water pooling on roads and wash-outs may occur.
-Enhanced risk of landslides due to saturation of landscapes.

Remarks:
An atmospheric river will make landfall over Vancouver Island tonight and will remain over the region until Wednesday bringing heavy rain. The rain could be mixed with snow this evening as the freezing levels will be near sea level, but the freezing levels will quickly rise tonight and reach 2500 to 3000 metres on Monday morning. The heaviest rainfall is expected on Monday and Monday night.

Total rainfall amounts will vary, but between 100 to 150 mm can be expected by Wednesday morning, with the highest amounts forecast over northern sections.

The rain will ease on Wednesday morning.

Water will likely pool on roads and in low-lying areas. Some travel delays are possible. Landslides may occur in vulnerable areas such as steep slopes, deforested areas or recent burn scars. Fast-moving and rapidly rising water can sweep vehicles away and damage infrastructure.

Watch for washouts near rivers, creeks and culverts.

Please continue to monitor alerts and forecasts issued by Environment Canada. To report severe weather, send an email to BCstorm@ec.gc.ca or post reports on X using #BCStorm.

In effect for:
  • Inland Vancouver Island

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Updated: @ 31/12/1969 19:10 - next update at 16:00  
Summary / Temperature Wind Rain / Snow Depth Outlook
Snowfall Snowfall
Currently: 0.7°C, Max: 4.4°C, Min: 0.7°C 0.7°C
Colder 0.1°C than last hour.

---

Feels like: 1°C

24-hr difference
-5.5°CColder 5.5°C than yesterday at this time.
  Today Yesterday
High: 4.4°C
11:24
8.3°C
16:17
Low: 0.7°C
18:24
0.9°C
01:33
 Calm N
0
Gust:
0 km/h
0 Bft - Calm
Today: 1.9 km/h 09:26
Gust Month: 30.6 km/h March 9
Rain Today: 3.8 mm
Rain Rate (/hr): 0.62 mm
Rain Yesterday: 0.2 mm
Storm Rain: 3.8 mm
This Month: 50.2 mm
Season Total: 437.2 mm
Snow Depth: 1 cm
12 rain days in March.
Mon, 16 Mar
Rain at times heavy
Rain at times heavy
Humidity & Barometer Almanac Moon
Humidity: 88 % Decreased 1.0% since last hour.
Dew Point: -1°C Decreased 0.2°C since last hour.
Barometer: 1022 hPa Falling 2.2  hPa/hr
Baro Trend: Steady
Sunrise: 07:30
Sunset: 19:24
Moonrise: 06:44
Moonset: 16:49
Waning Crescent
Waning Crescent, Moon at 26 days in cycle
10%
Illuminated
UV Index Forecast UV Index Forecast
15/03/2026
2.9     Low 
16/03/2026
3.3     Medium 
 EC Weather Forecast  - Outlook: Tonight & Mon, 16 Mar
Tonight
Rain or snow
Rain or snow

Min: 2°C
EC forecast: Snow mixed with rain changing to rain this evening. Snowfall amount 2 cm except 5 cm over higher terrain. Rainfall amount 10 to 20 mm. Low plus 2.
Davis VP+ forecast: Increasing clouds and warmer, precipitation possible within 12 to 24 hrs, windy.
 
Mon, 16 Mar
Rain at times heavy
Rain at times heavy

Max: 10°C
EC forecast: Rain at times heavy. Amount 30 to 40 mm. Wind becoming southwest 30 km/h gusting to 50 in the afternoon. High 10. UV index 1 or low.